Abstract 4145962: Evaluating a Single-Lead, Mobile Electrocardiogram for Screening of Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Obstructive Sleep Apnea

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4145962-A4145962, November 12, 2024. Introduction:Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) affects nearly a billion adults worldwide, and is associated with an increased risk of coronary artery disease, heart attack, heart failure, and arrhythmias – notably atrial fibrillation (AF). Low cost, point of care mobile electrocardiograms (MobileECGs) record and detect heart rhythm abnormalities in 30 seconds. This study aims to assess the effectiveness of the KardiaMobile (AliveCor) MobileECG device as an AF screen in the OSA patient population.Methods:The MobileECG Sleep Study enrolled 500 adult University of Florida Health patients in an observational study between March 2021 and March 2024. After providing consent and completing a brief survey regarding pre-existing health conditions and overall sleep health, a trained research assistant performed the AF screening with the KardiaMobile ECG device. ECG readings were marked for previously undetected abnormalities (potential AF, tachycardia, bradycardia, etc.) and statistically analyzed to determine stroke risk using the CHA2DS2-VASc scoring system. CHA2DS2-VASc criteria includes congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 (doubled), diabetes, stroke (doubled), vascular disease, age 65 to 74 and sex category (female).Results:A total of 500 participants were enrolled over a 3 year period at University of Florida Health Sleep Center. Of which 276 (55.2%) were female and 224 (44.8%) were male, with a mean age of 56.34 (SD 15.74) and a mean weight of 222.50 (SD 63.25). Of those tested, 68 (13.6%) had irregular, previously undetected AF readings. Patients with irregular AF readings using the KardiaMobile ECG device had CHA2DS2-VASc scores of t(68) = 2.15, p = .042, d = 0.26 indicating an intermediate risk for stroke. Oral anticoagulation is recommended for a score of ≥ 2 if the patient has no contraindication. After prior 12-lead ECG data for patients is obtained the determinations will be compared to the KardiaMobile ECG readings using Cohen’s Kappa.Conclusion:MobileECGs offer a rapid, point of care screening tool for AF in an outpatient sleep clinic setting. Early detection of AF in the OSA patient population can result in improved outcomes and reduced instances of stroke events through anticoagulation therapy guided by CHA2DS2-VASc scores. Further research is necessary to understand the long term impact of surveillance AF screening in high risk patient populations on mortality and cost of healthcare.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4139026: Prevalence of Familial Hypercholesteremia (FH) Among Participants in the ACCELERATE Trial: Implications for Opportunistic FH Screening and Prognostication

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4139026-A4139026, November 12, 2024. Background:Familial hypercholesteremia (FH) leads to elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Although treatable, FH is underdiagnosed. Lipid lowering therapy may mask diagnostic pretreatment LDL-C levels. Participants of ASCVD trials may be enriched for FH, so ASCVD trial enrollment may be a unique contact point to opportunistically diagnose FH.Hypothesis:The population of the ACCELERATE trial of evacetrapib and ASCVD outcomes is enriched for FH.Methods:ACCELERATE is a phase 3 cardiovascular outcomes trial which randomized 12,092 patients with high-risk vascular disease to receive evacetrapib or placebo. FH was not reported. Using participant-level data, we estimated pretreatment LDL-c using validated corrections based on type and dose of statin therapy. We defined severe hypercholesterolemia as pretreatment LDL-C ≥ 190 mg/dl and FH as severe hypercholesterolemia with total cholesterol > 290 mg/dL in a first or second degree relative, consistent with Simon Broome register criteria. We compared trial prevalence to general prevalence (severe hypercholesterolemia ~7%, FH ~0.4%). We evaluated the adjusted association of severe hypercholesterolemia with the primary trial endpoint of ASCVD events using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression.Results:Data were available for 11,993 participants (99%). The prevalence of severe hypercholesteremia was 15% (1809/11993). The prevalence of FH was 2.1% (255/11993). Pretreatment LDL-C ≥ 190 mg/dL, as compared with pretreatment LDL-C < 190 mg/dL, was significantly associated with a higher incidence of the primary ASCVD trial endpoint (15% vs 13.5% respectively, adjusted hazard ratio 1.19; 95% CI 1.03-1.38, P=0.021;Figure).Conclusion:In a participant-level analysis of a rigorous, independently adjudicated ASCVD outcomes trial, severe hypercholesterolemia and FH were more prevalent in the trial population than the general population based on pretreatment LDL-C calculation. Severe hypercholesterolemia was significantly associated with higher ASCVD incidence. ASCVD trial enrollment may be a novel high-yield contact point for index FH case identification using simple pretreatment LDL-C calculation.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4147650: Right Ventricular Hemodynamics in Patients Screened for HFpEF with a Novel Artificial Intelligence Screening Tool

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4147650-A4147650, November 12, 2024. Background:Invasive hemodynamics are the gold standard for diagnosis of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). A novel, FDA-approved artificial intelligence (AI) technology that uses a single, 4-chamber transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE) image to screen patients for HFpEF shows promise as a non-invasive tool to assist in diagnosis. Development of right ventricular (RV) dysfunction is a sign of a more advanced HFpEF. Advanced RV hemodynamic parameters, beyond pulmonary arterial pressures (PAP), have not been well studied in HFpEF. We sought to correlate advanced RV hemodynamic parameters in patients screened for HFpEF with this AI screening tool.Method:We retrospectively evaluated two cohorts of patients with suspected HFpEF that underwent TTE and RHC at our institution. The most recent TTE for each patient was screened using the AI-based analysis tool and was reported as either “suggestive” or “non-suggestive” of HFpEF – labeled as “positive” or “negative,” respectively. Mean PAP, pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR), pulmonary artery pulsatility index (PAPI), RV cardiac power output (RV-CPO), RV myocardial performance score (RV-MPS), and right atrial pressure to pulmonary capillary wedge pressure ratio (RA:PCWP) were calculated using invasive hemodynamic parameters at rest, and exercise when available. RV-CPO was calculated as [(mean PAP-RAP) x cardiac output] /451, and RV-MPS was calculated as (RV-CPO x PAP)x1.5. Median values were calculated. AI positive and negative groups were compared using Student’s t-test.Results:A total of 47 patients (82% women, 79% Black, average EF 62%) were included, with 23 undergoing subsequent exercise RHC. There were 18 (38%) that screened positive for HFpEF, and 29 (62%) screened negative by TTE AI software. Positive patients had a significantly higher mean PAP (median 31 vs 23 mmHg, p=0.01), PVR (2.1 vs 1.3 WU, p=0.02), and RV-CPO (0.26 vs. 0.17, p=0.04) than patients who were screened negative. There were no significant differences in PAPI, RV-MPS, and RA:PCWP at rest. There were no significant differences in mean PAP, PVR, PAPI RV-CPO, RV-MPS, or RA:PCWP with exercise.Conclusion:Patients screened positive for HFpEF by a novel AI TTE software had significantly higher PAP and RV-CPO at rest, but no differences in PAPI, RV-MPS, or RA:PCWP ratio. This tool may help identify more advanced HFpEF.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4121454: Machine-extractable Markers in Chest Radiograph to Predict Cardiovascular Risk in Screening Population

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4121454-A4121454, November 12, 2024. Introduction:Recent research has shown that AI is able to assess biological aging and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk using chest radiographs. However, the lack of explainability of such deep learning algorithms hinders clinical utility and adoption. This motivates the current study which searches for and tests the use of machine extractable quantitative features in chest radiographs to predict CVD risk in population screening.Method:Chest radiograph measurements characterizing cardiomediastinal geometry, aortic calcification and tortuosity were handpicked for development of a segmentation-based feature extraction algorithm. The algorithm was applied on the PLCO lung screening dataset for analysis. The association between measurement-based imaging features, clinical characteristics (age, sex, BMI, smoking status, hypertension, diabetes, liver disease) with CVD mortality and 10-year major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were analysed by using proportional hazard regression, with feature selection done by LASSO.Result:Of 29,453 eligible subjects, 5693 subjects from a single study centre were used for fitting of all models. The median follow-up time was 19 years. A total of 32 imaging features were extracted and analysed. For both 10-year MACE and CVD mortality, model using imaging features, age, and sex performed similarly to model using conventional risk factors, and a deep learning chest radiograph CVD risk model. Two imaging features, mediastinal width at valve-level [HR 1.36 (1.23-1.50)] and maximal lateral displacement of descending aorta [HR 1.29 (1.18-1.42)] were found to be prognostic. To the best of our knowledge, these features have not been reported previously.Conclusion:Quantitative imaging features can predict CVD risk in chest radiograph similar to deep learning models while providing feature interpretability and explainability. Two novel imaging features prognostic of CVD risk were found and shown to be complementary to conventional risk factors.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4140219: Performance of a Novel Rheumatic Heart Disease Screening Protocol Led by Non-Expert Frontline Nurses in Uganda

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4140219-A4140219, November 12, 2024. Background:Poor healthcare access results in late- or non-diagnosis of rheumatic heart disease (RHD), perpetuating the burden of RHD in low-resource settings. The ADUNU program, a partnership with the Ugandan Ministry of Health in Kitgum, Uganda, aims to improve RHD case detection through decentralized screening led by primary care nurses, who independently perform and interpret brief screening echocardiograms using handheld echocardiography.Hypothesis:We hypothesized ADUNU’s simplified screening protocol would achieve sensitivity and specificity greater than 80% on confirmatory evaluation.Aim:To determine the health system impact of deploying a novel RHD screening protocol into the public health system in Uganda through a cross-sectional study of diagnostic accuracy.Methods:Primary healthcare nurses, certified to perform echocardiographic screening using a single parasternal long axis view in 2D and color Doppler, integrated screening into their clinical and outreach workflows. Community members with positive screens (mitral regurgitation jet ≥2cm or aortic regurgitation jet ≥1cm) were referred for confirmatory echocardiograms at the District Hospital. A random subset with negative screens were recruited for confirmatory echocardiograms at the time of screening as well. Sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, likelihood ratios, accuracy, and agreement (Cohen’s kappa) were calculated between the screening protocol and the confirmatory results.Results:Between May 2023 and April 2024, 3020 community screenings (ages 5-70 years) were conducted by 19 certified nurses. Among 113 positive screens, 61 (53.9%) were confirmed to have RHD. Among 430 negative screens, 14 (3.3%) had RHD. Screening sensitivity was 82.4% (95% CI 72.2-89.4%) and specificity 89.1% (85.9-91.6%). Positive and negative predictive values were 54.5% (45.2-63.4%) and 97.0% (94.9-98.2%). Likelihood ratios were 7.55(+) and 0.19(-). Accuracy was 88.3% (85.2 – 91.4%) and kappa was 0.59 (0.49-0.68).Conclusions:ADUNU’s novel approach to RHD active case finding achieved acceptable diagnostic performance. Nurse-led RHD screening programs that are integrated into routine clinical care shows potential for use in a comprehensive public health program. Very few RHD cases were missed, and under two referrals were generated for every positive case, an acceptable false positive rate. Further economic evaluation is underway to understand the budgetary impact and cost-effectiveness of this program.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4138647: Opportunistic Screening for Cardiovascular Risk Using Chest X-Rays and Deep Learning: Associations with Coronary Artery Disease in the Project Baseline Health Study and Mass General Brigham Biobank

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4138647-A4138647, November 12, 2024. Introduction/Background:We previously demonstrated that an open-source deep learning model (CXR-CVD Risk) can predict 10-year major adverse cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction&stroke), based on a chest radiograph image (CXR). As deep learning models are black boxes, establishing the biological processes the model captures to predict risk may help build understanding and trust in the model.Research Questions/Hypothesis:To test associations between deep-learning derived CXR-CVD Risk and markers of cardiovascular disease including coronary artery calcium (CAC) and stenosis ≥50% on CT, systolic blood pressure (SBP), ankle brachial index (ABI), and prevalent myocardial infarction and stroke.Methods/Approach:We conducted external validation of CXR-CVD-Risk in two cohorts: 1) 2,097 volunteers in the Project Baseline Health Study (PBHS) and 2) 1,644 Mass General Brigham Biobank (MGBB) patients. The CXR-CVD-Risk model estimated 10-year cardiovascular event risk (probability between 0 and 1) from a CXR image. We calculated linear associations with SBP, ABI, and the logarithm of coronary artery calcium and odds ratios for prevalent hypertension, myocardial infarction, stroke, and, in the MGBB, coronary artery stenosis ≥50%. Analyses were adjusted for age, BMI, sex, smoking status, and enrolling site.Results/Data:CXR-CVD-Risk was associated with CAC in both populations (PBHS: 1.11-fold increase, 95% CI: [1.07-1.16]; MGBB: 1.03-fold increase [1.01-1.05] in CAC per 1% increase in CXR-CV-Risk). CXR-CVD-Risk was also associated with SBP (0.59 mmHg increase [0.24-0.93] in SBP per 1% increase in CXR-CV-Risk), history of hypertension, history of myocardial infarction, and stroke. There was an inverse association with ABI (0.010 decrease [0.005-0.014] in ABI) in the PBHS. In the MGBB, CXR-CVD-Risk was associated with coronary artery stenosis ≥50% (OR = 1.004 [1.002-1.007]). All estimates are after covariate adjustment.Conclusion:This deep learning CXR risk score was associated with coronary artery disease (calcium score and stenosis ≥50%), CVD risk factors, and prevalent CVD. Opportunistic screening using CXRs in the electronic record can identify patients at high risk of CVD who may benefit from prevention.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4112869: Development of a Sitosterolemia Risk Prediction Scale (SRPS): A Screening Tool

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4112869-A4112869, November 12, 2024. Introduction:Sitosterolemia, a hereditary disorder marked by elevated plant sterol levels, presents diagnostic challenges due to its similarity to other lipid disorders. The development of the Sitosterolemia Risk Prediction Scale (SRPS) aims to address this by synthesising genetic, clinical, and dietary data into a coherent risk assessment model.Research Question:We propose that a structured risk scale, integrating diverse factors known to affect sitosterolemia, can significantly improve the accuracy of predicting the disorder. The SRPS is hypothesised to facilitate early detection and inform targeted interventions.Aim:The primary aim is to conceptualise and outline the SRPS, which categorises individuals into risk categories based on a point system reflecting genetic predispositions, clinical symptoms, dietary habits, and response to treatments. This scale seeks to enhance the clinical identification of sitosterolemia, promoting timely and personalised management strategies.Methods:A detailed table was generated to present the SRPS, categorising risk factors into genetic, clinical, dietary, and response to treatment. This innovative method allowed for the efficient synthesis and visualisation of complex data.Results:The SRPS table methodically organizes risk factors into low (0-2 points), moderate (3-5 points), and high (6+ points) categories. This stratification guides further diagnostic actions, ranging from exploring alternative causes of hyperlipidemia to necessitating comprehensive genetic and lipid analyses.Conclusion:The SRPS represents an innovative framework for assessing sitosterolemia risk, highlighting the potential benefits of integrating genetic, clinical, and dietary information. It further underscores the importance of a multifactorial approach in the early detection and management of sitosterolemia.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4131439: Routine Social Isolation Screening Among Adults with Cardiovascular Disease: A Survival Analysis

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4131439-A4131439, November 12, 2024. Background:Evidence linking social isolation to cardiovascular disease morbidity and mortality has grown in recent years. Still, information on how this may manifest in real world settings and its implications for screening practices is limited. In 2019, our large national integrated health care system implemented screening for social isolation as part of a broader universal social risk assessment. This repository of screening data was joined to administrative claims to test these associations in real world data and explore differences by demographic and medical factors.Methods:Social isolation responses recorded from 2019-2022 were included for a cohort of adult health plan members with documented atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). We selected a single random assessment for each member and retained any other responses for sensitivity analyses. Cohort members had at least 10 months of enrollment surrounding assessment date for use as the baseline period and were followed for 365 days. We used cox proportional hazards regression with right censoring for coverage gaps to estimate the risk of all-cause mortality conferred by social isolation. We used Poisson regression to model the rate of inpatient stays.Results:There were 881 deaths among 7,484 members (18% of those with social isolation; 11% of those without). The isolated group skewed less male (54% vs. 65%, p

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4138955: Artificial intelligence-guided screening of rheumatic heart disease from single-view two-dimensional echocardiography

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4138955-A4138955, November 12, 2024. Introduction:Rheumatic heart disease (RHD) is the most common acquired heart disorder in children and adolescents worldwide. We developed and validated an automated artificial intelligence (AI)-guided RHD screening algorithm adapted for point-of-care ultrasonography (POCUS) in school-aged children.Methods:We employed a cross-domain transfer learning approach, in which a 3D convolutional neural network (CNN) was first trained to detect structural RHD deformation of the mitral or aortic valves in 244,523 videos, representing all views from 5,614 adult transthoracic echocardiograms (1:5 age and sex-matched cases and controls; median age 69 [58-80] years, 76.4% female) in a large US health system. The model was fine-tuned for stage ≥B (“definite”) RHD in 21,472 POCUS videos (2D parasternal and apical acquisitions) from 5,525 studies (75% training, 25% validation) in a pediatric screening program (median age 11 [IQR 10-13] years, 54.6% female) in Brazilian low-income schools. Testing was performed in a held-out set of 1,966 parasternal long-axis (PLAX) videos from 1,138 studies in Brazil (14 [1.2%] with stage ≥B RHD) as well as in an external pediatric screening set in Uganda consisting of 249 videos from 96 studies (34 [35.4%] with stage ≥B RHD) (Fig. 1).Results:Our model (Fig. 2) achieved a study-level AUROC (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve) of 0.88 across the held-out/external testing sets for identifying stage ≥B RHD from cardiac POCUS (Fig. 3A). On a video-level the model learned a continuous spectrum of phenotypes on PLAX acquisitions spanning stage ≥B (“definite”) and stage A (“borderline”) cases, ranging from a median video-level AI probability of 0.13 [0.01-0.73] for stage ≥B to 0.00 [0.00-0.01] for non-RHD POCUS (Fig. 3B). At the threshold that maximized Youden’s J in the held-out Brazil set, our algorithm’s performance in the set from Uganda showed 97% recall (sensitivity), a positive predictive value (precision) of 46%, and a negative predictive value of 95%.Conclusions:A transfer learning approach that employs multi-view learning achieves excellent performance for RHD on single-view two-dimensional cardiac POCUS without Doppler. Our study suggests a scalable approach to AI-enabled RHD detection with images that can be acquired by individuals with modest training.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4144973: AI-enabled Nationwide Opportunistic Screening of Non-Contrast Chest CT: Association between Cardiac Calcium Score and All-cause Mortality/Cardiovascular Events in Taiwan

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4144973-A4144973, November 12, 2024. Background:Cardiac calcium, which includes coronary and extra-coronary calcification, is often incidentally found in chest CT scans performed for various reasons. Despite its prognostic value, manual quantification of cardiac calcium in non-gated chest CT images is labor-intensive.Goals:This retrospective study aims to perform automatic quantification and scoring of cardiac calcium in non-contrast-enhanced chest CTs. The objective is to determine associations between automatic calcium scoring and outcomes such as all-cause mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), and non-fatal stroke.Methods:We conducted a nationwide cohort study using the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) from 2016 to 2022. Patients under 20 years old, with a diagnosis of malignancy, or with outcome events before the CT acquisition were excluded. HeaortaNet 1.0, a validated AI model, was used for cardiac calcium scoring. Comorbidities were determined using ICD diagnostic codes for ≥2 consecutive outpatient visits within the year before the index date. Outcomes were censored at the first occurrence of mortality or relevant ICD codes for MI or stroke.Results:The retrospective cohort included 279,415 patients (56.37% male, mean age 60.31±16.54). All-cause mortality occurred in 12.82% of patients within a 3-year follow-up. The 3-year incidence rates of non-fatal MI and non-fatal stroke were 0.86% and 2.07%, respectively. Multivariate-adjusted Cox hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for any composite outcome were 1.51 (1.46-1.57), 2.09 (2.01-2.17), 2.63 (2.53-2.74), and 3.37 (3.24-3.50) for cardiac calcium scores of 1-100, 101-400, 401-1000, and >1000, compared to a score of 0. Adjusted Cox hazard ratios for all-cause mortality were 1.62 (1.56-1.69), 2.29 (2.19-2.39), 2.91 (2.78-3.04), and 3.80 (3.64-3.96) for scores of 1-100, 101-400, 401-1000, and >1000, compared to a score of 0.Conclusion:AI-enabled opportunistic screening of non-contrast chest CT for cardiac calcium scoring is associated with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events. This is the first large-scale cohort study to use an AI model for comprehensive cardiac calcium screening.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4143150: Long-term Effect of Screening for Coronary Artery Disease Using CT Angiography on Mortality and Cardiac Events in High-risk Patients with Diabetes: the FACTOR-64 Follow-up Study

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4143150-A4143150, November 12, 2024. Background:The FACTOR-64 study was a randomized controlled trial designed to assess whether routine screening for CAD by coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) in high-risk patients with diabetes followed by CCTA-directed therapy would reduce the risk of death and nonfatal coronary outcomes. Results at four years showed a lower revascularization rate (3.1% (14) vs. 8.9% (40), p

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4146283: Infrequent Cognitive Assessments in CABG Trials (from 2005-2023) Highlight Need for Improved Strategies for Cognitive Screening post-coronary bypass grafting (CABG) surgery

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4146283-A4146283, November 12, 2024. Objective:The incidence of cognitive decline following coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is well-documented, significantly impacting patient morbidity, mortality, and quality of life. We conducted a systematic review that examines cognitive outcomes in CABG randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to identify which cognitive assessments were used, their administration frequency, attrition rates, and their effectiveness in detecting perioperative cognitive changes in control groups.Methods:We conducted a search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and PsycINFO for CABG RCTs that included cognitive assessments, from January 2005 to December 2023. Descriptive statistics were used to summarize the frequency, domains, and attrition rates of each cognitive task. For tasks assessed both pre- and post-operatively in at least three RCTs, control group scores and standard deviations were reported.Results:Out of 3337 screened studies, 2163 were CABG RCTs, and only 69 (3.2%) included cognitive evaluations (Figure 1). These trials involved 15,839 subjects (79% male, mean age 64.4, median follow-up time 90 days) and used 145 unique cognitive tasks. The Trailmaking Test Part B (40/69; 58.0%) and Part A (38/69; 55.0%) were the most frequently used. Only 7 tasks had means and standard deviations reported before and after surgery in more than three RCTs, and none detected significant pre- to post-operative changes. Attrition rates averaged 19.3%, with a wide range from 0% to 62%. Figure 2 demonstrates the decline in cognitive assessments in CABG trials over the years, with a sharp decline after 2014. Trials that assessed cogntion after 2014 tended to favor screening tasks (MMSE/MoCA) alone.Conclusion:Cognitive assessments are infrequent in CABG trials, and existing tests fail to consistently detect cognitive changes. To effectively evaluate and address cognitive impact after CABG, new assessment strategies that are resilient to attrition and practical for use in diverse trial settings are needed.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4145119: Implementation and Evaluation of a Life’s Essential 8 Risk Factor Screening Tool in a Public HIV Clinic in Tanzania

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4145119-A4145119, November 12, 2024. Background:The burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is increasing among people with HIV (PWH) in sub-Saharan Africa. Integrating CVD screening into routine HIV care represents an opportunity to diagnose CVD at an earlier stage in a potentially high-risk population.Research questionsIs integrating CVD risk factor screening feasible and sustainable in a public HIV clinic in Mwanza, Tanzania? What is the magnitude of CVD risk of the general adult PWH population? What is the unmet need for blood pressure (BP) and diabetes management?Methods:We adapted the AHA Life’s Essential 8 (LE8) into a rapid questionnaire that was administered to every PWH in a large public adult HIV clinic. Questions included demographics; LE8 risk factors (BMI, diet, physical activity, sleep, and smoking); and the hypertension and diabetes continuum of care. Every patient had their BP measured; BP was measured two additional times for those with an initial BP >140/90 mmHg. We administered random blood glucose screening to anyone with a high BP, obese BMI, current smoking, or history of diabetes. Implementation and effectiveness were evaluated using the RE-AIM framework.Results:In 3 months, 1072 PWH were screened at least once. Mean age was 50 years and 72% were female. On average, PWH had a nutritious diet and received adequate physical activity per AHA guidelines. The prevalence of hypertension was 34%; the continuum of care is shown in Figure 1. Of those screened, 21% had diabetes or pre-diabetes. Evaluation via the RE-AIM framework is shown in Table 1. Successes included the reach and effectiveness of screening in only 3 months. Adoption was the biggest challenge due to staffing and supply constraints. The intervention was feasible, implemented with fidelity, and is ongoing.Conclusions:Integrating CVD risk screening into routine HIV care in a busy Tanzanian clinic was feasible and demonstrated a high magnitude of undiagnosed and untreated hypertension among the general PWH population.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4141994: Targeted Atrial Fibrillation Screening in Older Adults: A Secondary Analysis of the VITAL-AF Trial

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4141994-A4141994, November 12, 2024. Background:Screening trials for atrial fibrillation (AF) have produced mixed results; however, it is unclear if there is a subset of individuals for whom screening would be effective. Identifying such a subgroup would support targeted screening.Methods:We conducted a secondary analysis of VITAL-AF (NCT03515057), a randomized trial of one-time, single-lead ECG screening during primary care visits. We tested two approaches to identify a subgroup that would benefit from screening (i.e., heterogenous screening effects). First, we use a potential outcomes framework to develop an effect-based model. Specifically, we predicted the likelihood of AF diagnosis under both screening and usual care conditions using LASSO, a penalized regression method. The difference between these probabilities was the predicted screening effect. Second, we used the CHARGE-AF score, a validated AF risk model. We used interaction testing to determine if the observed diagnosis rates in the screening and control arms were statistically different when stratified by decile of the predicted screening effect and predicted AF risk.Results:Baseline characteristics were similar between the screening (n=15187) and usual care (n=15078) groups (mean age 74 years, 59% female). On average, screening did not significantly increase the AF diagnosis rate (2.55 vs. 2.30 per 100 person-years, rate difference 0.24, 95%CI -0.18 to 0.67). Patients in the highest decile of predicted screening efficacy (n=3026, 10%) experienced a large and statistically significant increase in AF diagnosis rates due to screening (6.5 vs. 3.06 per 100 person-years, rate difference 3.45, 95%CI 1.62 to 5.28; interaction p-value 0.038) (Figure 1). In this group, the mean age was 84 years and 68% were female. Participants in the highest decile of AF risk using the CHARGE-AF score did not have a statistically significant increase in AF diagnosis rates due to screening (Figure 2). Predicted screening effectiveness and predicted AF risk were poorly correlated (Spearman coefficient 0.13).Conclusions:One-time screening may increase AF diagnoses in a subgroup of older adults with the largest predicted screening effect. In contrast, predicted AF risk was a poor proxy for predicted screening efficacy. These data caution against the assumption that high AF risk is necessarily correlated with high screening efficacy. Prospective studies are needed to validate whether AF screening is effective in the subgroup identified in this study.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4142502: Stepwise Screening with AI-Enhanced Electrocardiogram and Point-of-Care Ultrasound Improves Cost Savings of Structural Heart Disease Detection Compared to AI-Enhanced Electrocardiogram Alone

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4142502-A4142502, November 12, 2024. Background:AI-ECG is a cost-effective tool for left ventricular dysfunction (LVD) screening. However, its cost-effectiveness for other forms of structural heart disease (SHD) is unknown. While AI-ECG is inexpensive, a drawback is low positive predictive value (PPV), which leads to high costs from unnecessary follow-up tests. Therefore, strategies to improve the yield of AI-ECG-based screening are needed.Aim:To evaluate the cost savings of a stepwise approach to SHD screening with AI-ECG followed by POCUS compared to AI-ECG alone.Methods:286 adult outpatients undergoing AI-ECG were selected at random. Participants received same-day POCUS and had a recent TTE (our gold standard for SHD). We evaluated four SHDs: aortic stenosis (AS), cardiac amyloidosis (CA), HCM, and LVD. The costs of AI-ECG ($75) and TTE ($1,305) were obtained from Healthcare Bluebook. The cost of POCUS ($100) was estimated independently. Cost savings were analyzed for simultaneous screening for all forms of SHD and screening for individual SHDs.Results:AI-ECG identified potential SHD in 125 patients, but only 39 were true positives by TTE (31% PPV). In AI-ECG positive patients, POCUS demonstrated findings of SHD in 52/125. Compared to TTE, this stepwise approach yielded 32 true positives and 20 false positives (62% PPV). The cost per patient diagnosed with SHD was $4,733 with AI-ECG alone but decreased to $3,182 with stepwise screening (33% cost savings). Screening for individual SHDs resulted in cost reduction from $18,724 to $6,315 (66% savings) for AS, $21,023 to $12,230 (42% savings) for CA, $9,883 to $6,175 (38% savings) for HCM, and $4,019 to $3,582 (11% savings) for LVD.Conclusions:Stepwise screening for SHD with AI-ECG followed by POCUS significantly reduces costs compared to AI-ECG alone. We also suggest a model for parallel screening for multiple SHDs, which is likely more cost-effective than screening for individual SHDs.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4131622: Opportunistic Screening of Chronic Liver Disease With Deep Learning Enhanced Echocardiography

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4131622-A4131622, November 12, 2024. Introduction:Chronic liver disease affects more than 1.5 billion adults worldwide, but the majority of cases are asymptomatic and undiagnosed. Echocardiography is broadly performed and visualizes the liver; however, this information is not diagnostically leveraged.Hypothesis and Aims:We hypothesized that a deep-learning algorithm can detect chronic liver diseases using subcostal echocardiography images that contains hepatic tissue. To develop and evaluate a deep learning algorithm on subcostal echocardiography videos to enable opportunistic screening for chronic liver disease.Methods:We identified adult patients who received echocardiography and abdominal imaging (either abdominal ultrasound or abdominal magnetic resonance imaging) with ≤30 days between tests. A convolutional neural network pipeline was developed to predict the presence of cirrhosis or steatotic liver disease (SLD) using echocardiogram images. The model performance was evaluated in a held-out test dataset, dataset in which diagnosis was made by magnetic resonance imaging, and external dataset.Results:A total of 2,083,932 echocardiography videos (51,608 studies) from Cedars-Sinai Medical Center (CSMC) were used to develop EchoNet-Liver, an automated pipeline that identifies high quality subcostal images from echocardiogram studies and detects presence of cirrhosis or SLD. In a total of 11,419 quality-controlled subcostal videos from 4,849 patients, a chronic liver disease detection model was able to detect the presence of cirrhosis with an AUC of 0.837 (0.789 – 0.880) and SLD with an AUC of 0.799 (0.758 – 0.837). In a separate test cohort with paired abdominal MRIs, cirrhosis was detected with an AUC of 0.726 (0.659-0.790) compared to MR elastography and SLD was detected with an AUC of 0.704 (0.689-0.718). In the external test cohort of 66 patients (n = 130 videos), the model detected cirrhosis with an AUC of 0.830 (0.738 – 0.909) and SLD with an AUC of 0.768 (0.652 – 0.875).Conclusions:Deep learning assessment of clinically indicated echocardiography enables opportunistic screening of SLD and cirrhosis. Application of this algorithm may identify patients who may benefit from further diagnostic testing and treatment for hepatic disease.

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Novembre 2024