What motivates GPs to vaccinate against influenza? Protocol for a mixed-methods study

Introduction
In Germany, influenza vaccination rates in at-risk groups are well below the 75% coverage recommended by the WHO. Although it has been shown that general practitioners (GPs) can play a key role in increasing their patients’ willingness to be vaccinated, this potential does not seem to have been fully used. This study aims to uncover factors that motivate GPs to vaccinate their patients against influenza, investigate the role of financial incentives in achieving higher vaccination rates and determine how the daily practice of GPs can be made more vaccination friendly.

Methods and analysis
A mixed-methods approach is employed to reach the research aims. Literature reviews will be conducted to identify factors that motivate GPs to vaccinate against influenza and to identify studies in which preferences are elicited. This is followed by semistructured interviews with GPs (n=6–10). The scoping reviews and interviews serve as a basis for the development of a quantitative survey directed at GPs which includes a discrete choice experiment. The quantitative survey will be sent to a total of 3760 GPs.

Ethics and dissemination
The study will be conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki. A positive vote has been received from the Ethics Committee of the Medical Association North Rhine (2024259). Study participants will only be included in the study after being given informed consent. Manuscripts will be prepared for the scoping review on motivating factors and after completion of the quantitative survey, which will be submitted to peer-reviewed journals. Interim results and final results of the project will be presented at conferences.

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Vacation and back-to-school effect on influenza transmission among school-age children in Guangzhou, China: an ecological study from 2010 to 2023

Objective
To examine whether influenza transmission risk decreased during summer and winter vacations and increased after vacations and statutory holiday.

Design
An ecological study.

Setting
Guangzhou, Guangdong Province of China.

Participants
A total of 458 343 influenza cases in school-aged children were included, including 160 067 (35.05%) in kindergarten, 223 817 (48.83%) in primary school, 50 053 (10.92%) in middle school and 23 801 (5.19%) in high school.

Data and methods
Data on influenza cases were obtained from the Notifiable Infectious Disease Surveillance System operated by Guangzhou Centre for Disease Control and Prevention. Influenza incidence rate ratio (IRR) by negative binomial regression model was used to analyse the influenza risk of school-age children during/after vacation to before/during breaks.

Results
In all four groups, there was significantly lower incidence of influenza during winter and summer vacations compared with the 4 weeks preceding vacations. Compared with the 2 weeks preceding return, kindergarten students experienced the highest influenza risk in the third week after summer vacation (IRR=3.40, 95% CI 2.43to 4.79). Primary school students had the highest risk in the fourth week after winter vacation (IRR=9.59, 95% CI 6.71 to 13.87). Middle school students had the highest risk in the fourth week after summer (IRR=11.60, 95% CI 6.17 to 22.62). High school students also experienced the highest risk in the fourth week following summer (IRR=17.96, 95% CI 8.10 to 42.05). Despite the risk of influenza increasing after returning to school, it remained lower compared with before vacations and holidays.

Conclusions
Due to changes in contact patterns, influenza incidence was high towards the end of term, significantly decreased during vacations and started to rise on returning to school, peaking in the third or fourth week. These findings suggested using holiday periods strategically to promote influenza vaccination and implementing enhanced non-pharmaceutical interventions on students returning to school.

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Community burden of acute respiratory infections in Shanghai, a longitudinal cohort study in respiratory pathogens, China, 2024-2027

Purpose
We are conducting a longitudinal cohort study—the Community Burden of Acute Respiratory Infections in Shanghai—to assess age-stratified incidence, healthcare utilisation and risk factors of influenza virus, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and SARS-CoV-2 associated acute respiratory infections (ARIs) in Shanghai, China.

Participants
Study participants were enrolled by family doctors in all 47 community health services centres in Pudong New Area District, Shanghai, China. All permanent residents 6 months and older living in Pudong for at least 6 months were eligible for enrolment; residents who planned to leave Pudong for more than 1 month in the first study year were excluded. During enrolment, study staff conducted baseline assessments of sociodemographics, underlying medical conditions, vaccination history and household and self-rated health status. Study participants are being followed for ARIs for 3 years. Nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab specimens are being obtained from suspected ARI cases. Influenza virus, RSV, SARS-CoV-2 and other respiratory pathogens are tested for by multiplex respiratory pathogen real-time quantitative PCR assays. Illness courses and clinical recoveries of ARI cases are assessed through weekly contact with ARI cases for 28 days post ascertainment.

Findings to date
Between 14 October 2024 and 22 November 2024, we enrolled 5387 community residents into the cohort, including 233 children aged from 6 months to 2 years, 278 preschool children aged 3–6 years, 575 school-age children aged 7–18 years, 2150 adults aged 19–64 years and 2151 older adults aged 65+years. All finished baseline assessment and started follow-up. Surveillance of ARI symptoms, collection of specimens and laboratory testing are ongoing.

Future plans
Findings from this study will be used to provide valuable scientific data to inform ongoing control efforts and future pandemic preparedness for respiratory diseases in China. Planned analyses include analysis of annual pathogen-specific incidence by age group and exploration of healthcare seeking behaviour and factors associated with ARIs and severe ARIs. We will also assess transmission dynamics of common respiratory pathogens in a household transmission subcohort.

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