Is mailed outreach and patient navigation a perfect solution to improve HCC screening?

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a significant global health problem, and its incidence is expected to exceed 1 million new HCC annually by 2025.1 The reported 3-year survival rate for advanced-stage HCC is less than 17%, while 70% of patients diagnosed with early-stage HCC can achieve 5-year survival.2 Despite well-established guidelines and the clear benefits of early detection, the meta-analysis results (29 papers, 1 18 799 patients) showed that only 24% of individuals at risk for developing HCC were screened.3 Efforts to surmount barriers at patient, provider and healthcare levels have shown a minimal screening rate increase over time.3 4 One of the reasons for the disappointing results might be the fact that authors focused on individual barriers, rather than considering the screening failure the result of the interplay of different factors. Additionally, the published studies have the following limitations, detailed reasons for…

Leggi
Novembre 2024

Where are we with gastric cancer screening in Europe in 2024?

The absolute number of annual cases of gastric cancer in Europe is rising. The Council of the European Union has recommended implementation of gastric cancer screening for countries or regions with a high gastric cancer incidence and death rates. However, as of 2024 no organised gastric cancer screening programme has been launched in Europe.
There are several ways to decrease gastric cancer burden, but the screen and treat strategy for Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) seems to be the most appropriate for Europe. It has to be noted that increased use of antibiotics would be associated with this strategy.
Only organised population-based cancer screening is recommended in the European Union, therefore gastric cancer screening also is expected to fulfil the criteria of an organised screening programme. In this respect, several aspects of screening organisation need to be considered before full implementation of gastric cancer prevention in Europe; the age range of the target group, test types, H. pylori eradication regimens and surveillance strategies are among them. Currently, ongoing projects (GISTAR, EUROHELICAN, TOGAS and EUCanScreen) are expected to provide the missing evidence. Feedback from the decision-makers and the potential target groups, including vulnerable populations, will be important to planning the programme.
This paper provides an overview of the recent decisions of the European authorities, the progress towards gastric cancer implementation in Europe and expected challenges. Finally, a potential algorithm for gastric cancer screening in Europe is proposed.

Leggi
Novembre 2024

Effectiveness of mailed outreach and patient navigation to promote HCC screening process completion: a multicentre pragmatic randomised clinical trial

Background
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is plagued by failures across the cancer care continuum, leading to frequent late-stage diagnoses and high mortality. We evaluated the effectiveness of mailed outreach invitations plus patient navigation to promote HCC screening process completion in patients with cirrhosis.

Methods
Between April 2018 and September 2021, we conducted a multicentre pragmatic randomised clinical trial comparing mailed outreach plus patient navigation for HCC screening (n=1436) versus usual care with visit-based screening (n=1436) among patients with cirrhosis at three US health systems. Our primary outcome was screening process completion over a 36-month period, and our secondary outcome was the proportion of time covered (PTC) by screening. All patients were included in intention-to-screen analyses.

Results
All 2872 participants (median age 61.3 years; 32.3% women) were included in intention-to-screen analyses. Screening process completion was observed in 6.6% (95% CI: 5.3% to 7.9%) of patients randomised to outreach and 3.3% (95% CI: 2.4% to 4.3%) of those randomised to usual care (OR 2.05, 95% CI: 1.44 to 2.92). The intervention increased HCC screening process completion across most subgroups including age, sex, race and ethnicity, Child-Turcotte-Pugh class and health system. PTC was also significantly higher in the outreach arm than usual care (mean 37.5% vs 28.2%; RR 1.33, 95% CI: 1.31 to 1.35). Despite screening underuse, most HCC in both arms were detected at an early stage.

Conclusion
Mailed outreach plus navigation significantly increased HCC screening process completion versus usual care in patients with cirrhosis, with a consistent effect across most examined subgroups. However, screening completion remained suboptimal in both arms, underscoring a need for more intensive interventions.

Trial registration number
NCT02582918.

Leggi
Novembre 2024

Abstract 4139194: Predicting Cholesterol Screening Behavior After Age 50 Using Machine Learning: Insights from the Health and Retirement Study

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4139194-A4139194, November 12, 2024. Background:In the U.S., about 8% of adults never received cholesterol screening. Although machine learning (ML) has been used to develop decision tools for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) risk prediction, its application in behavioral forecasting has not yet been explored in the context of cholesterol screening behaviors. This study aimed to examine the performance and accuracy of ML algorithms in forecasting cholesterol screening behaviors in adults after age 50.Methods:This analysis used deidentified data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) 2004-2018. HRS is a longitudinal survey among 23,000 households in the U.S. Participants were excluded from the current analysis if they passed away by 2019, ever had ASCVD or stroke, were under age 50 at baseline, or had missing data in self-reported cholesterol screening. In total, 7176 participants (mean age [SD]=62 [8]) met the inclusion criteria; participants were randomly split into a training set (80%) and a testing set (20%). The synthetic minority oversampling technique was used to solve the imbalance distribution of the rare event. Five ML algorithms were used: random forest, gradient boosting machine (GBM), XGBoost, Support Vector Machine (SVM), and logistic regression. Accuracy, AUROC, and positive predictive value (PPV) were used to compare model performance. The average gain was evaluated for feature importance in the demographic and health domains.Results:In total, 232 (3.2%) respondents did not receive any cholesterol screening from 2008 to 2018. Experiments with five ML algorithms suggested that XGBoost with deeper trees and learning rate performed better in classifying those who did not screen for cholesterol levels over 10 years. Adding prior cholesterol screening history (2004-2006) into the model significantly improved model performance. Hypertension, self-rated health, and smoking were the major health features, while insurance, poverty, and work status were the major demographic features in the predictive model (accuracy=0.97; AUROC=0.88; PPV=0.42).Conclusion:Findings underscore the potential utility of ML models in predicting cholesterol screening behaviors after age 50. This could be the basis for developing decision tools for clinicians to identify those with a lower chance of cholesterol screening or make reminders accordingly. The low-cost predictive model might improve the uptake of preventive screening behaviors in middle-aged and older adults.

Leggi
Novembre 2024

Abstract 4145826: Atrial Fibrillation Screening During Sinus Rhythm Periods by Interrelated Systems Dynamics Analysis

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4145826-A4145826, November 12, 2024. Background:Previous studies have shown that AF screening in at-risk populations can reduce stroke incidence. However, non-targeted screening approaches often result in high false positive rates, placing an unnecessary burden on the healthcare system. In contrast, artificial intelligence-guided screening has been demonstrated to increase diagnostic yield in large prospective clinical trials. This approach, however, requires recording an ECG and a large-scale dataset for model training. Heart rate variability (HRV) analysis has proven effective in deciphering key heart dynamics. By analyzing HRV as interrelated dynamic systems, it may be possible to facilitate targeted AF screening using wearable devices that measure heart rate.The Koopman operator, used for data-driven modeling of interrelated dynamic systems, has been shown to accurately predict complex phenomena in chaotic systems such as climate forecasting and drug adverse reaction prediction. This is achieved by utilizing common characteristics of the systems for most model parameters, with only a small fraction of the parameters being specific to a certain system.Methods:Long ( >10 hour) records from 361 individuals (AFDB, LTAFDB) and healthy individuals’ datasets from PhysioNet and THEW were analyzed for inter-beat intervals. The unified dataset was then split into 94 training, 17 validation, and 250 test set patients. Recordings from the training set were used to train both the common and specific parts of the interrelated dynamic systems model for each patient, along with a shared small neural network classifying patients into low and high risk for AF based on the unique (not shared between patients) singular values of the dynamic system model. Patient-specific dynamic system models were then fitted for the validation and test sets to calculate the patient dynamic singular values, which were used to classify patients into low and high risk for AF groups.Results:Atrial fibrillation occurred in 48 of 202 (23%) patients classified as low risk and 35 of 48 (72.9%) patients classified as high risk (odds ratio 8.63, 95% CI 4.23-17.64), yielding 72.9% sensitivity with 76.2% specificity.Conclusion:In this retrospective analysis, classification of the dynamic system model singular values identified patients at high risk for atrial fibrillation from sinus rhythm period.

Leggi
Novembre 2024

Abstract 4144583: Beyond Acute Rejection Screening Following Pediatric Heart Transplant: In Patients Negative for Rejection, Elevated Donor-Derived Cell-Free DNA is Associated with Cardiac Allograft Vasculopathy (CAV) and Donor Specific Antibodies (DSA)

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4144583-A4144583, November 12, 2024. Donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) has been increasingly used to detect acute rejection (AR). We aimed to compare our institutional dd-cfDNA results to previously published adult and pediatric dd-cfDNA AR cutoffs. We also hypothesized that in the absence of AR, elevated dd-cfDNA would be associated with CAV and positive DSA.Patients (pt) < 18 years at transplant with >1 dd-cfDNA between 2021-2023 were included. Using dd-cfDNA levels from this cohort, sensitivity, specificity, NPV, and PPV were calculated. False positives and false negatives (FN) were determined using published dd-cfDNA thresholds. AR was defined as decision-to-treat with increased immunosuppression, which was independent of dd-cfDNA in our cohort. In pt without AR,t-test was used to compare the means of dd-cfDNA levels in pt with and without DSA. χ2testing was then performed to evaluate the association between dd-cfDNA levels above and below 0.2% and the presence/absence of DSA and CAV. DSA was defined as allele-specific DSA identified by single antigen bead with mean fluorescence intensity >1000, and CAV as any disease by angiography.There were 379 samples among 163 pt, a median of 2 samples per pt, and 32 samples obtained at time of AR. Performance of dd-cfDNA in our cohort vs published dd-cfDNA thresholds is shown in Table 1. The FN rate ranged from 16 to 37% as the dd-cfDNA threshold increased. Mean dd-cfDNA was higher in patients with positive DSA versus those without (0.83% vs 0.19%, p0.2% were associated with a higher prevalence of positive DSA (n=66) (48% vs 13%, p

Leggi
Novembre 2024

Abstract 4144566: Building CPR/AED Confidence through Community Volunteer Prevention Screening Sessions: The Impact of the Eric Paredes Save A Life Foundation

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4144566-A4144566, November 12, 2024. Introduction:Sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) remains a leading cause of death among young individuals, often occurring without prior symptoms. Public confidence in recognizing SCA warning signs, understanding risk factors, and using cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) and Automated External Defibrillators (AEDs) is generally low. The Eric Paredes Save A Life Foundation addresses this gap by offering free cardiac screenings and educational sessions. This abstract evaluates the foundation’s impact on participants’ confidence in these critical areas.Goals:The primary objectives were to enhance participants’ confidence in identifying SCA warning signs and risk factors, performing CPR, using AEDs during cardiac emergencies, and communicating youth heart health concerns to healthcare providers.Methods:Volunteer-led prevention screening sessions were conducted, incorporating educational components on SCA warning signs, risk factors, and hands-only CPR and AED training. Post-session surveys were administered to 1,123 participants to assess their confidence levels in these areas.Results:The screening sessions significantly increased participants’ confidence. Specifically, 96% of participants reported heightened confidence in recognizing SCA warning signs and understanding risk factors. Additionally, 94% felt more assured in discussing youth heart health with providers. Confidence in performing CPR during a cardiac emergency rose to 92%, while confidence in using an AED reached 89%. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of the sessions in empowering individuals with essential life-saving skills.Conclusions:The Eric Paredes Save A Life Foundation’s prevention screening sessions are highly effective in improving participants’ confidence in recognizing SCA warning signs, understanding risk factors, and using CPR and AEDs. The substantial increase in confidence levels underscores the importance of community-based education and training programs in reducing SCA-related fatalities among youth. These findings support the need for ongoing and expanded initiatives to further enhance public health outcomes and preparedness for cardiac emergencies.

Leggi
Novembre 2024

Abstract 4143150: Long-term Effect of Screening for Coronary Artery Disease Using CT Angiography on Mortality and Cardiac Events in High-risk Patients with Diabetes: the FACTOR-64 Follow-up Study

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4143150-A4143150, November 12, 2024. Background:The FACTOR-64 study was a randomized controlled trial designed to assess whether routine screening for CAD by coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) in high-risk patients with diabetes followed by CCTA-directed therapy would reduce the risk of death and nonfatal coronary outcomes. Results at four years showed a lower revascularization rate (3.1% (14) vs. 8.9% (40), p

Leggi
Novembre 2024

Abstract 4140219: Performance of a Novel Rheumatic Heart Disease Screening Protocol Led by Non-Expert Frontline Nurses in Uganda

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4140219-A4140219, November 12, 2024. Background:Poor healthcare access results in late- or non-diagnosis of rheumatic heart disease (RHD), perpetuating the burden of RHD in low-resource settings. The ADUNU program, a partnership with the Ugandan Ministry of Health in Kitgum, Uganda, aims to improve RHD case detection through decentralized screening led by primary care nurses, who independently perform and interpret brief screening echocardiograms using handheld echocardiography.Hypothesis:We hypothesized ADUNU’s simplified screening protocol would achieve sensitivity and specificity greater than 80% on confirmatory evaluation.Aim:To determine the health system impact of deploying a novel RHD screening protocol into the public health system in Uganda through a cross-sectional study of diagnostic accuracy.Methods:Primary healthcare nurses, certified to perform echocardiographic screening using a single parasternal long axis view in 2D and color Doppler, integrated screening into their clinical and outreach workflows. Community members with positive screens (mitral regurgitation jet ≥2cm or aortic regurgitation jet ≥1cm) were referred for confirmatory echocardiograms at the District Hospital. A random subset with negative screens were recruited for confirmatory echocardiograms at the time of screening as well. Sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, likelihood ratios, accuracy, and agreement (Cohen’s kappa) were calculated between the screening protocol and the confirmatory results.Results:Between May 2023 and April 2024, 3020 community screenings (ages 5-70 years) were conducted by 19 certified nurses. Among 113 positive screens, 61 (53.9%) were confirmed to have RHD. Among 430 negative screens, 14 (3.3%) had RHD. Screening sensitivity was 82.4% (95% CI 72.2-89.4%) and specificity 89.1% (85.9-91.6%). Positive and negative predictive values were 54.5% (45.2-63.4%) and 97.0% (94.9-98.2%). Likelihood ratios were 7.55(+) and 0.19(-). Accuracy was 88.3% (85.2 – 91.4%) and kappa was 0.59 (0.49-0.68).Conclusions:ADUNU’s novel approach to RHD active case finding achieved acceptable diagnostic performance. Nurse-led RHD screening programs that are integrated into routine clinical care shows potential for use in a comprehensive public health program. Very few RHD cases were missed, and under two referrals were generated for every positive case, an acceptable false positive rate. Further economic evaluation is underway to understand the budgetary impact and cost-effectiveness of this program.

Leggi
Novembre 2024

Abstract 4121454: Machine-extractable Markers in Chest Radiograph to Predict Cardiovascular Risk in Screening Population

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4121454-A4121454, November 12, 2024. Introduction:Recent research has shown that AI is able to assess biological aging and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk using chest radiographs. However, the lack of explainability of such deep learning algorithms hinders clinical utility and adoption. This motivates the current study which searches for and tests the use of machine extractable quantitative features in chest radiographs to predict CVD risk in population screening.Method:Chest radiograph measurements characterizing cardiomediastinal geometry, aortic calcification and tortuosity were handpicked for development of a segmentation-based feature extraction algorithm. The algorithm was applied on the PLCO lung screening dataset for analysis. The association between measurement-based imaging features, clinical characteristics (age, sex, BMI, smoking status, hypertension, diabetes, liver disease) with CVD mortality and 10-year major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were analysed by using proportional hazard regression, with feature selection done by LASSO.Result:Of 29,453 eligible subjects, 5693 subjects from a single study centre were used for fitting of all models. The median follow-up time was 19 years. A total of 32 imaging features were extracted and analysed. For both 10-year MACE and CVD mortality, model using imaging features, age, and sex performed similarly to model using conventional risk factors, and a deep learning chest radiograph CVD risk model. Two imaging features, mediastinal width at valve-level [HR 1.36 (1.23-1.50)] and maximal lateral displacement of descending aorta [HR 1.29 (1.18-1.42)] were found to be prognostic. To the best of our knowledge, these features have not been reported previously.Conclusion:Quantitative imaging features can predict CVD risk in chest radiograph similar to deep learning models while providing feature interpretability and explainability. Two novel imaging features prognostic of CVD risk were found and shown to be complementary to conventional risk factors.

Leggi
Novembre 2024