Survival status and predictors of mortality among preterm neonates admitted in Bench Sheko Zone, Sheka Zone and Keffa Zone Governmental Hospitals, Southwest Ethiopia (2021): prospective follow-up study

Introduction
Prematurity presents a significant challenge to the global community due to the rapid increase in its incidence and its disproportionate contribution to increased infant mortality rates.

Objective
To assess the survival status and predictors of mortality among preterm neonates.

Design
A multicentre prospective follow-up study was used.

Setting
625 preterm neonates were admitted to hospitals for secondary level of care. The study covers the Bench Maji Zone, Keffa Zone, Sheka Zone, nearby woredas and portions of the Gambella area in Southwest Ethiopia.

Participants
614 preterm neonates with gestational age less than 37 weeks were entered for follow-up and 400 neonates were censored. Neonates with severe fetal malformations and neonates who need urgent referral were excluded from the study.

Results
Overall, 200 (32.57%) participants died with an incidence rate of 61.69 deaths per 1000 person-day observations (95% CI: 53.71 to 70.86). Poor kangaroo mother care (KMC) services (adjusted HR (AHR)=0.19, 95% CI: 0.12 to 0.29), sex (AHR=0.66, 95%, CI: 0.47 to 0.94), not initiating breast feeding (HR=2.78, 95% CI: 1.8 to 4.28), hypothermia (AHR=0.63, 95% CI: 0.44 to 0.92), anaemia (AHR=6.2, 95% CI: 2.34 to 16.43) and gestational age less than 28 weeks (AHR=9.28, 95% CI: 1.78 to 48.42) were independent predictors.

Conclusion and recommendation
The rate of preterm neonatal mortality was high compared with the Ethiopia Demographic and Health Survey report nationally. Healthcare workers should encourage KMC services and breastfeeding initiation and prevent preterm neonates from being anaemic to increase their chances of survival.

Leggi
Aprile 2024

Long-term follow-up study of necrotising pancreatitis: interventions, complications and quality of life

Objective
To describe the long-term consequences of necrotising pancreatitis, including complications, the need for interventions and the quality of life.

Design
Long-term follow-up of a prospective multicentre cohort of 373 necrotising pancreatitis patients (2005–2008) was performed. Patients were prospectively evaluated and received questionnaires. Readmissions (ie, for recurrent or chronic pancreatitis), interventions, pancreatic insufficiency and quality of life were compared between initial treatment groups: conservative, endoscopic/percutaneous drainage alone and necrosectomy. Associations of patient and disease characteristics during index admission with outcomes during follow-up were assessed.

Results
During a median follow-up of 13.5 years (range 12–15.5 years), 97/373 patients (26%) were readmitted for recurrent pancreatitis. Endoscopic or percutaneous drainage was performed in 47/373 patients (13%), of whom 21/47 patients (45%) were initially treated conservatively. Pancreatic necrosectomy or pancreatic surgery was performed in 31/373 patients (8%), without differences between treatment groups. Endocrine insufficiency (126/373 patients; 34%) and exocrine insufficiency (90/373 patients; 38%), developed less often following conservative treatment (p50% during initial admission was associated with percutaneous/endoscopic drainage (OR 4.3 (95% CI 1.5 to 12.2)), pancreatic surgery (OR 3.2 (95% CI 1.1 to 9.5) and development of endocrine insufficiency (OR13.1 (95% CI 5.3 to 32.0) and exocrine insufficiency (OR6.1 (95% CI 2.4 to 15.5) during follow-up.

Conclusion
Acute necrotising pancreatitis carries a substantial disease burden during long-term follow-up in terms of recurrent disease, the necessity for interventions and development of pancreatic insufficiency, even when treated conservatively during the index admission. Extensive ( >50%) pancreatic parenchymal necrosis seems to be an important predictor of interventions and complications during follow-up.

Leggi
Aprile 2024