Research and development investment of Chinese chemical pharmaceutical companies under the national pooled procurement: a retrospective panel data analysis, 2013-2022

Objective
To generate evidence about changes in the research and development (R&D) investment of Chinese chemical pharmaceutical companies before and after the implementation of the national pooled procurement, to respond to the concerns that significant price reductions might negatively affect R&D investment, and to facilitate the evidence-based decision-making for improvement of the national pooled procurement.

Methods
This retrospective study employed the fixed-effects models with robust SEs to analyse the changes in R&D investment intensities of 76 A-share listed Chinese chemical pharmaceutical companies before and after the procurement implementation in 2019. The analyses were based on a panel data set between 2013 and 2022. Subgroup analyses were conducted to account for the heterogeneity of the target companies. The bootstrap hypothesis test method was employed to assess potential variations across the different subgroups.

Results
Following the procurement implementation, the R&D investment intensity (RDI) of the target companies increased by 1.9% (p

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4120515: Impact of 2022 AHA/ACC/HFSA Heart Failure Guideline Value Statement Publication on Medicare Drug Coverage Policies

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4120515-A4120515, November 12, 2024. Background:Patients with heart failure (HF) often have difficulty obtaining life-saving medications due to coverage barriers, such as prior authorizations (PA) and high out of pocket (OOP) costs. To promote better insurance coverage of high value therapies, the AHA/ACC/HFSA added Value Statements to HF guidelines to inform policymakers about medication cost effectiveness. We assessed whether these guidelines influenced Medicare drug coverage policies for two life-saving, costly HF medications: angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitors (ARNI – guideline “high value”) and sodium glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i – guideline “intermediate value”).Methods:We performed an observational study of Medicare drug plans from 4/2020-4/2023 to assess for changes in ARNI and SGLT2i coverage after Value Statement publication (4/2022), and subsequent Medicare plan online update (10/2022). The primary outcome was any barrier to drug coverage (PA, tier ≥ 3 OOP cost-sharing, step therapy, or no coverage). Analysis utilized interrupted time series and difference-in-difference (DiD) approaches. DiD analyses used direct oral anticoagulants as a control due to similar cost and utilization as ARNI and SGLT2i, but with no Value Statement.Results:Among 7,396 Medicare drug plans, 94.3%-97.4% had coverage barriers to ARNI and 93.2%-96.6% to SGLT2i. The majority of barriers were due to tier ≥ 3 OOP cost-sharing requirements (ARNI: 94.3%-95.8%; SGLT2i: 93.2%-95.6%). Coverage barriers remained stable in 4/2022, and declined slightly in 10/2022 (Figure). In DiD analyses, the presence of a Value Statement was associated with a ~1 percentage point decline in coverage barriers for ARNI and SGLT2i.Conclusion:Coverage barriers to ARNI and SGLT2i were common and did not change much in response to Value Statements in HF Guidelines. Increased consideration for Value Statements by Medicare policy-makers is needed to meaningfully improve access to high value therapies.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4140139: Cardio-ankle vascular index (CAVI) in prediction of chronic coronary artery disease: risk, coronary artery lesions, and cardiovascular disease events

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4140139-A4140139, November 12, 2024. Introduction:The cardio-ankle vascular index (CAVI) is a significant metric for evaluating arterial function. The test measures the stiffness of the arteries from the beginning of the aorta to the ankle, and the algorithm used is not influenced by blood pressure. Recent statistics indicate that a high CAVI score has the potential to predict future cardiovascular disease (CVD) occurrences. However, no research has been conducted in Vietnam to investigate this matter.Methods:A prospective study was conducted on 222 patients. Out of these, 162 patients had chronic coronary artery disease (CAD), while the remaining 62 patients were free of CAD. The study took place between October 2019 and December 2022. Participants who fulfilled the criteria were evaluated using the CAVI baseline measurement and clinical and paraclinical parameters. A total of 162 patients with chronic coronary artery disease (CAD) were monitored for cardiovascular disease (CVD) events over a period of 2 years.Results:CAVI in chronic CAD patients (9.21±0.79) was significantly higher compared to those in free-CAD patients (8.48 ± 0.62) with p

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4147016: Trends in Hypertension-related End-Stage Renal Disease (ESRD) across the United States from 1999-2022: An Analysis of Age, Gender, and Ethnic Disparities

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4147016-A4147016, November 12, 2024. Introduction:One of the main causes of renal disease, in which the kidneys are unable to function properly, is hypertension. Over time, uncontrolled hypertension can harm the fragile blood vessels in the kidneys, resulting in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and eventually end-stage renal disease (ESRD). In this study, we examined the trends of hypertension-related ESRD mortality in the United States from 1999 to 2022 and determined the disparities between various epidemiological groups.Methods:Our study conducted an in-depth search of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Wide- Ranging Online Data for Epidemiological Research (CDC Wonder) database and retrieved data on hypertension-related end-stage renal disease mortality from 1999 to 2022. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) per 100,000 individuals and associated annual percent changes (APC) for the overall study population were calculated using Joinpoint Regression Analysis. The data was further stratified into epidemiological groups of age, gender, ethnicity, and census region.Results:A total of 938,095 deaths occurred from hypertension-related end-stage renal disease. It was observed that the overall AAMR for hypertension-related ESRD increased from 1999-2022 with a fixed APC of 9.08. The populations with the highest mortality rates were males, African Americans, non-Hispanics, and the age group of over 85 years. Region-wise analysis gave variable trends in the AAMR (Overall APC: Northeast: 8.42, Midwest: 10.29, West: 9.04, and South: 12.80 from 2011-2022).Conclusion:In the US, the mortality rates from hypertension-related ESRD have shown a constant incline. The need for additional research and action is highlighted by persistent differences in mortality that are related to geography and demographics.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4146291: Trends and Disparities in Circulatory Disease Prevalence in U.S. Adults: A National Health Interview Survey Database Analysis (2019-2022)

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4146291-A4146291, November 12, 2024. Background:Circulatory diseases represent the primary cause of mortality in the US. Comprehending trends and potential disparities in the prevalence of circulatory conditions, such as angina pectoris (AP), myocardial infarction (MI), hypertension (HTN), and coronary heart disease (CHD), is essential for forming public health strategies.Aim:To investigate trends in the prevalence of circulatory conditions, including AP, MI, HTN, and CHD among US adults from 2019 to 2022.Methods:Prevalence percentages for all available circulatory diseases from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) database were retrieved for patients aged >18 years from 2019 to 2022. Annual Percentage Changes (APCs) along with their respective 95% CIs were calculated using regression analysis with Join point. The data was stratified by year, gender, age, race, nativity, veteran status, social vulnerability, employment status, metropolitan statistical area (MSA) status and census region.Results:Between 2019 and 2022, HTN was steadily the most prevalent, staying relatively constant at 27.0% (95% CI: 26.4, 27.7) in 2019 and 27.2% (95% CI: 26.5, 27.8) in 2022. Males consistently had higher prevalence than females with significant increases noted from 2019 to 2022 (APC: 1.0234). Black or African American had the highest prevalence (34.4% in 2022). The South (30.1% in 2022) and the West (22.5% in 2022) had respectively the highest and lowest rates. The second highest prevalence was seen in CHD increasing from 4.6% (95% CI: 4.3, 4.9) in 2019 to 4.9 (95% CI: 4.7, 5.2) in 2020. Males consistently exhibited a higher prevalence than females, with both genders showing significant increases in recent years (Male APC: 3.1448) (Female APC: 2.0165). For MI, a slight decrease was noted from 3.1% (95% CI:2.9, 3.4) in 2019 to 3.0% (95% CI:2.7, 3.2) in 2022. White individuals exhibited the highest prevalence (3.3% in 2022). AP had the lowest overall prevalence staying relatively consistent (1.7% in 2019 and 1.6% in 2022) (Figure 1).Conclusion:Significant trends (Figure 2) in most common circulatory diseases have been identified. Targeted interventions are imperative, particularly for high-risk demographics such as males, older adults, veterans, and unemployed individuals.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4146264: A Meta-analysis of the Right Ventricle Changes in Cancer Therapy-Induced Cardiotoxicity – The Forgotten Ventricle in Cardio-Oncology

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4146264-A4146264, November 12, 2024. Introduction:Cancer therapy-induced cardiotoxicity (CTRCD) is one of the most significant adverse effects of oncologic treatment, responsible for considerable morbidity and mortality. Heart failure stands out due to its higher frequency and severity with the focus of most studies being left ventricular dysfunction and remodeling. The right ventricle (RV) may also be damaged by CTRCD, however the effects on RV function have not been elucidated.Research Question:What are the echocardiographic changes in RV due chemotherapy treatment?Objective:To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis evaluating the RV echocardiographic parameters in patients undergoing chemotherapy treatment.Methods:Pubmed, Embase and Cochrane were systematically searched for studies that assessed RV echocardiographic changes in patients due to chemotherapy treatment. Statistical analysis was performed using the R statistical environment, with a summary estimate using Mean Differences (MD), adopting a random-effects model to account for variability among studies and a two-tailed significance level of 5%. A correlation coefficient of 0.5 was assumed for the paired measurements. Heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 statistic.Results:We included 641 patients from 11 studies, 75.5% of whom were women and with a mean age of 50.2±6.1 years. RV function was significantly lower after cancer treatment, with reduction in the fractional area change (MD -3.53%; CI -5.25, -1.41; p

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4146278: Trends in Obesity-related Cardiovascular Disease Mortality across the United States from 1999-2022: An Analysis of Age, Gender, and Race disparities

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4146278-A4146278, November 12, 2024. Background:Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading cause of mortality worldwide and is inextricably linked to obesity, which is a modifiable risk factor for the pathology. In this study, we aimed to analyze the trends of obesity-related cardiovascular disease mortality in the United States from a period of 1999-2022 and also explored the incongruities between various epidemiological groups.Methods:Our study involved accessing multiple cause of mortality records obtained from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiological Research (CDC Wonder) database, specifically focusing on obesity-related cardiovascular mortality, from 1999 to 2022. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) per 100,000 individuals and associated annual percent changes (APC) for the overall study population were calculated. We further analyzed the data by dividing it into epidemiological groups of age, race, gender, and ethnicity. We further stratified the cardiovascular disease mortality into heart failure, hypertension, ischemic heart disease, and cerebrovascular disease. We used Joinpoint Regression Program to analyze trends in AAMR.Results:A total of 33,359 deaths occurred from obesity-related cardiovascular disease in the US from 1999 to 2022. The overall AAMR for obesity-related cardiovascular mortality increased from 1999-2018 with an APC of 5.26, but following this, almost tripled from 2018-2022 with an APC of 14.69. The populations with the highest mortality rates were those in Males, African Americans, non-Hispanics, and the age group of 65-74 years. Among the stratification for the causes of CVD mortality, the highest increase in obesity-related AAMR was observed in hypertensive diseases (APC of 7.56 from 1999-2018, and 15.91 from 2018-2022).Conclusion:Obesity-related CVD mortality experienced a moderate incline in the United States. However, since COVID-19, there has been a significant increase in mortality. Persistent demographic and geographic disparities in mortality underscore the need for further investigation and intervention.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4113573: Long Noncoding RNAs to Predict COVID-19 Neuro-Cardio-Vascular Outcomes

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4113573-A4113573, November 12, 2024. Introduction/Background:Cardiovascular and neurological diseases develop in a significant proportion of COVID-19 patients. Minimally invasive tools to predict outcome after SARS-CoV-2 infection would enable personalized healthcare, potentially easing the disease burden. We showed that blood levels of the long noncoding RNA lymphoid enhancer-binding factor-1 antisense 1 (LEF1-AS1) predict COVID-19 in-hospital mortality.Hypothesis:LEF1-AS1 is associated with long-term clinical outcomes of COVID-19.Aim:Test the capacity of LEF1-AS1 to predict neuro-cardio-vascular outcomes post-SARS-CoV-2 infection.Methods/Approach:We enrolled 104 primo-infected COVID-19 patients aged 18+ recruited from April to December 2020 in the PrediCOVID national cohort for which 12-month follow-up data were available (Ethics Committee approvals 202003/07 and 202310/02-SU-202003/07). Whole blood samples were collected at baseline and expression levels of LEF1-AS1 were assessed by quantitative PCR.Results/Data:Of the 104 patients, 35 had at least one neurological symptom and one cardiovascular symptom at month 12. Levels of LEF1-AS1 at baseline were lower (p=0.019) in patients who developed neurological and cardiovascular symptoms as compared to patients who did not. Lower LEF1-AS1 was associated with symptoms development with an odds ratio of 0.48 (95% CI 0.28-0.83) from logistic regression model adjusted for age, sex, comorbidities and disease severity at baseline. Addition of LEF1-AS1 to a clinical model including age, sex, comorbidities and baseline severity yielded an incremental predictive value as attested by an increased AUC from 0.79 to 0.83 (likelihood ratio test p=0.005), a net reclassification index of 0.54 (p=0.007) and an integrated discrimination improvement of 0.08 (p=0.009).Conclusion:Blood levels of LEF1-AS1 predict 12-month neurological and cardiovascular outcomes of COVID-19 patients. This needs to be validated in larger populations.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4145037: Effects of Empagliflozin on cardio-renal interaction in heart failure: Results from the CINNAMON-study and in-vivo experiments

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4145037-A4145037, November 12, 2024. Background and Purpose:Heart failure is associated with renal dysfunction suggesting a pathophysiological link between heart and kidney. Empagliflozin, a SGLT2 inhibitor, showed beneficial effects on both cardiovascular and renal endpoints. However, mechanistically, it is unclear if empagliflozin-dependent kidney protection is mediated via inhibition of tubular SGLT2 or more indirectly via improved cardiac function.We hypothesized that Empagliflozin treatment improves left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and thereby renal function in patients and mice independent of renal SGLT2 inhibition.Methods:We evaluated LVEF and GFR in our patients with HF with reduced (n=32) and preserved ejection fraction (n=59) after 30 and 180 days (prospective, single-arm CINNAMON-study, DRKS00031101). Furthermore, we conducted transverse aortic constriction (TAC) in C57BL/6J (wildtype, WT) and SGLT2 deficient mice (SGLT2-KO). Animals received either Empagliflozin (10 mg/kg bw) or vehicle. Cardiac function was evaluated by echocardiography and kidney function by FITC-Sinistrin measurement (GFR).Results:Empagliflozin treatment improved LVEF in patients with reduced LVEF whereas in patients with preserved LVEF (Fig. A, B) there was no change in LVEF (Fig. C). Interestingly, only in patients with LVEF < 40% there was a parallel improvement in GFR (Fig. D, E), whereas in patients with LVEF > 40% we only observed the well-known transient drop of GFR (Fig. F).In mice after 10 weeks, echocardiography confirmed TAC induced pressure-overload, leading to reduced LVEF, which was attenuated by EMPA (Fig. G). Interestingly, at 10 weeks, TAC also reduced GFR, which was prevented by EMPA (Fig. H). To test if direct inhibition of SGLT2 is mechanistically involved, TAC surgery was repeated in SGLT2-deficient mice (SGLT2-KO). In fact, exposure to TAC resulted in comparable reduction of LVEF in SGLT2-KO and EMPA prevented this deterioration similar to WT mice (Fig. G vs. I). Surprisingly, EMPA also prevented GFR deterioration 10 weeks after TAC in SGLT2-KO mice with comparable magnitude as in WT mice (Fig. J), suggesting that the reno-protective effect of Empagliflozin was independent from SGLT2 inhibition.Conclusion and Outlook:This is the first study investigating the role of SGLT2 in Empagliflozin-dependent kidney protection in patients and of mice with heart failure. Importantly, Empagliflozin treatment prevented deterioration of LVEF and GFR independent of the presence of SGLT2.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4147019: Role of Fractional Excretion of Uric Acid as a Predictor of Cardio-renal Syndrome in Acute Decompensated Heart Failure Patients: An Observational Study

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4147019-A4147019, November 12, 2024. Cardio-renal syndrome (CRS) is a growing health, economical, and societal problem.The diagnosis and treatment of patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) especially complicated with CRS are challenging and hence, we aimed to determine the prevalence of CRS in ADHF patients and also determine the role of fractional excretion of uric acid (FeUa) in prediction of CRS in patients with ADHF.Methods:In this hospital-based, observational study, a total of sixty-five patients with ADHF and who met the inclusion criteria were recruited and their demographic details were recorded. Blood samples were collected, and various laboratory parameters were measured at day-1, day-3, and day-7. The fractional excretion of sodium (FeNa) and FeUa were calculated.Results:The mean age of participants was 52.32 ± 14.04 years, and 67.69 % were males. The prevalence of CRS in ADHF patients was noted to be 18.46 %. At baseline, the B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) level for the enrolled patients was observed to be 8690.06 ± 6181.32 pg/ml. The serum creatinine and serum uric acid elevated as the day of hospitalization increased, and the maximum was observed at day-7 i.e., 1.35 ± 0.54 mg/ml and 11.08 ± 15.83 mg/ml, respectively. Declining trend in the FeNa (%) was noted, and the values at day-1, at day-3, and at day-7 were 1.25 ± 1.18, 1.01 ± 1.08, and 0.80 ± 0.79, respectively. The FeUa (%) value increased at day-3 from 5.60 ± 7.47 to 6.95 ± 7.43. However, decrease FeUa value was observed at day-7 (5.78 ± 5.63 %). On receiver operative curve analysis, FeUa served to be a negative predictor of CRS in ADHF patients with an area under the curve of 0.489.Conclusion:The FeUa seems to be a negative predictor of CRS in patients hospitalized with ADHF. However, multi-parametric techniques and biomarkers which are available for investigating cardiovascular diseases and kidney diseases may offer opportunities for the evaluation of CRS.

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Novembre 2024

Abstract 4139309: Rural-Urban Differences in Cardiovascular Mortality in the United States, 2010-2022

Circulation, Volume 150, Issue Suppl_1, Page A4139309-A4139309, November 12, 2024. Background:Between 2011-2017, US rural adults experienced higher cardiovascular (CV) death rates than their urban counterparts, and rural-urban disparities in CV mortality widened. Little is known about these trends have evolved in the wake of the pandemic. In this study, we provide an updated analysis of rural-urban differences in CV mortality.Methods:We used CDC WONDER to obtain national death data from 2010-2022. CV cause of death was identified by ICD-10 codes I00-99. Large metro, small/medium metro, and rural areas were defined using the National Center for Health Statistics Urban-Rural Classification. We calculated age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 population and compared 2022 vs. 2010 using rate differences and two-sample t-tests. We then fit a Poisson regression model to estimate annual percent change (APC), evaluating trends from 2010-2019 and 2019-2022 due to reversal in CV mortality observed after 2019. We included an interaction term to assess differential trends by rurality, and repeated the analysis for younger (age 25-64) and older (age >64) adults.Results:Between 2010-2022, AAMRs were consistently highest in rural areas (Figure 1, Table 1). AAMRs increased in rural areas (rate difference [RD] +3.4 [95% CI 0.4, 6.4]) but declined in urban areas (RD -23.8 [-25.3, -22.2]). This significant differential change was driven by a rise in AAMRs among younger, rural adults (RD +23.2 [21.2, 25.1). In contrast, older adults experienced a decline in AAMRs, though this reduction was greater in urban vs. rural areas (Table 2).From 2010-2019, overall APCs in AAMR decreased for all areas. However, when stratified by age, younger rural adults saw a significant increase (+1.0% [95% CI 0.5, 1.5]), while those in large metro areas did not (-0.2% [-0.5, 0.1]). Older adults saw a significant decrease across all areas.Between 2019-2022, the overall APC in AAMR increased significantly in rural areas (+3.1% [0.4, 6]), but in not large metro areas (+1.2% [-0.4, 2.9]). CV mortality rose in most subgroups, but younger rural adults experienced the largest increase (+4.2% [1.3, 7.1]) (Table 2).Conclusions:Between 2010-2022, CV mortality increased in rural areas and decreased in urban areas. Younger, rural adults experienced the most pronounced rise in CV death, while older, urban adults experienced the steepest decline. These findings highlight an urgent need to address widening rural-urban disparities, particularly among younger adults.

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Novembre 2024