Occurrence of metabolic syndrome in midlife in relation to cardiovascular morbidity and all-cause mortality–lessons from a population-based matched cohort study with 27 years follow-up

Objectives
We examined how asymptomatic metabolic syndrome (MetS) in midlife affects cardiovascular (CV) morbidity and all-cause mortality later in life and studied difference in time to event and from the individual components related to MetS.

Design
Population-based matched cohort study including data from a screening programme for identification of CV risk factors.

Setting
Primary care, County of Västmanland, Sweden.

Participants
All inhabitants turning 40 or 50 years between 1990 and 1999 were invited to a health screening. Total 34 269 (60.1%) individuals completed the health examination. Participants that met a modified definition of MetS were individually matched to two controls without MetS with regard to age, sex and date of health examination.

Interventions
None.

Main outcome measures
CV events and all-cause mortality from the index examination to June 2022.

Results
All 5084 participants with MetS were matched to two controls. There were 1645 (32.4%) CV events in the MetS group and 2321 (22.8%) CV events for controls. 1317 (25.9%) MetS and 1904 (18.7%) control subjects died. The adjusted HRs (aHR) for CV event and death were significantly higher when MetS was present (aHR) 1.39*** (95% CI 1.28 to 1.50) and 1.27*** (95% CI 1.16 to 1.40) respectively. The factor analysis identified three dominating factors: blood pressure, cholesterol and blood glucose. Mean time for first CV event and death was 2.6 years and 1.5 years shorter respectively for participants within the highest quartile compared with participants with lower mean arterial blood pressure (MAP). The aHR for each 10 mm Hg increased MAP were 1.19*** (95% CI 1.15 to 1.23) for CV event and 1.16*** (95% CI 1.11 to 1.21) for death.

Conclusion
The risk of a CV event and premature death is significantly increased when MetS is present. Early detection of metabolic risk factors, especially, high blood pressure, opens a window of opportunity to introduce preventive treatment to reduce CV morbidity and all-cause mortality.

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Settembre 2024

Multiple indicators of gut dysbiosis predict all-cause and cause-specific mortality in solid organ transplant recipients

Objective
Gut microbiome composition is associated with multiple diseases, but relatively little is known about its relationship with long-term outcome measures. While gut dysbiosis has been linked to mortality risk in the general population, the relationship with overall survival in specific diseases has not been extensively studied. In the current study, we present results from an in-depth analysis of the relationship between gut dysbiosis and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the setting of solid organ transplant recipients (SOTR).

Design
We analysed 1337 metagenomes derived from faecal samples of 766 kidney, 334 liver, 170 lung and 67 heart transplant recipients part of the TransplantLines Biobank and Cohort—a prospective cohort study including extensive phenotype data with 6.5 years of follow-up. To analyze gut dysbiosis, we included an additional 8208 metagenomes from the general population of the same geographical area (northern Netherlands). Multivariable Cox regression and a machine learning algorithm were used to analyse the association between multiple indicators of gut dysbiosis, including individual species abundances, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality.

Results
We identified two patterns representing overall microbiome community variation that were associated with both all-cause and cause-specific mortality. The gut microbiome distance between each transplantation recipient to the average of the general population was associated with all-cause mortality and death from infection, malignancy and cardiovascular disease. A multivariable Cox regression on individual species abundances identified 23 bacterial species that were associated with all-cause mortality, and by applying a machine learning algorithm, we identified a balance (a type of log-ratio) consisting of 19 out of the 23 species that were associated with all-cause mortality.

Conclusion
Gut dysbiosis is consistently associated with mortality in SOTR. Our results support the observations that gut dysbiosis is associated with long-term survival. Since our data do not allow us to infer causality, more preclinical research is needed to understand mechanisms before we can determine whether gut microbiome-directed therapies may be designed to improve long-term outcomes.

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Settembre 2024

Association of Urinary Metals With Cardiovascular Disease Incidence and All-Cause Mortality in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)

Circulation, Ahead of Print. BACKGROUND:Exposure to metals has been associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) end points and mortality, yet prospective evidence is limited beyond arsenic, cadmium, and lead. In this study, we assessed the prospective association of urinary metals with incident CVD and all-cause mortality in a racially diverse population of US adults from MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis).METHODS:We included 6599 participants (mean [SD] age, 62.1 [10.2] years; 53% female) with urinary metals available at baseline (2000 to 2001) and followed through December 2019. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the adjusted hazard ratio and 95% CI of CVD and all-cause mortality by baseline urinary levels of cadmium, tungsten, and uranium (nonessential metals), and cobalt, copper, and zinc (essential metals). The joint association of the 6 metals as mixture and the corresponding 10-year survival probability was calculated using Cox Elastic-Net.RESULTS:During follow-up, 1162 participants developed CVD, and 1844 participants died. In models adjusted by behavioral and clinical indicators, the HR (95% CI) for incident CVD and all-cause mortality comparing the highest with the lowest quartile were, respectively: 1.25 (1.03, 1.53) and 1.68 (1.43, 1.96) for cadmium; 1.20 (1.01, 1.42) and 1.16 (1.01, 1.33) for tungsten; 1.32 (1.08, 1.62) and 1.32 (1.12, 1.56) for uranium; 1.24 (1.03, 1.48) and 1.37 (1.19, 1.58) for cobalt; 1.42 (1.18, 1.70) and 1.50 (1.29, 1.74) for copper; and 1.21 (1.01, 1.45) and 1.38 (1.20, 1.59) for zinc. A positive linear dose-response was identified for cadmium and copper with both end points. The adjusted HRs (95% CI) for an interquartile range (IQR) increase in the mixture of these 6 urinary metals and the corresponding 10-year survival probability difference (95% CI) were 1.29 (1.11, 1.56) and –1.1% (–2.0, –0.05) for incident CVD and 1.66 (1.47, 1.91) and –2.0% (–2.6, –1.5) for all-cause mortality.CONCLUSIONS:This epidemiological study in US adults indicates that urinary metal levels are associated with increased CVD risk and mortality. These findings can inform the development of novel preventive strategies to improve cardiovascular health.

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Agosto 2024

Synergistic effects of social determinants of health and race-ethnicity on 30-day all-cause readmission disparities: a retrospective cohort study

Objective
The objective of this study is to assess the effects of social determinants of health (SDOH) and race-ethnicity on readmission and to investigate the potential for geospatial clustering of patients with a greater burden of SDOH that could lead to a higher risk of readmission.

Design
A retrospective study of inpatients at five hospitals within Henry Ford Health (HFH) in Detroit, Michigan from November 2015 to December 2018 was conducted.

Setting
This study used an adult inpatient registry created based on HFH electronic health record data as the data source. A subset of the data elements in the registry was collected for data analyses that included readmission index, race-ethnicity, six SDOH variables and demographics and clinical-related variables.

Participants
The cohort was composed of 248 810 admission patient encounters with 156 353 unique adult patients between the study time period. Encounters were excluded if they did not qualify as an index admission for all payors based on the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Service definition.

Main outcome measure
The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause readmission. This binary index was identified based on HFH internal data supplemented by external validated readmission data from the Michigan Health Information Network.

Results
Race-ethnicity and all SDOH were significantly associated with readmission. The effect of depression on readmission was dependent on race-ethnicity, with Hispanic patients having the strongest effect in comparison to either African Americans or non-Hispanic whites. Spatial analysis identified ZIP codes in the City of Detroit, Michigan, as over-represented for individuals with multiple SDOH.

Conclusions
There is a complex relationship between SDOH and race-ethnicity that must be taken into consideration when providing healthcare services. Insights from this study, which pinpoint the most vulnerable patients, could be leveraged to further improve existing models to predict risk of 30-day readmission for individuals in future work.

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Luglio 2024

Association between Triglyceride-Glucose Index and risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in adults with prior cardiovascular disease: a cohort study using data from the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 2007-2018

Objective
The association between the Triglyceride-Glucose (TyG) Index and mortality rates in patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains unclear. This study investigates the association between the TyG index and the incidence of all-cause and CVD-specific mortality among individuals with a history of CVD.

Design
Population-based cohort study.

Setting
Data were sourced from the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2007–2018) and linked mortality data, with follow-up continuing until 31 December 2019.

Participants
The study population comprised 3422 individuals aged 20 years or older with a documented history of CVD.

Outcome measures
We examined the association between the TyG index and the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Results
Over a median follow-up of 5.79 years, 1030 deaths occurred, including 339 due to CVD. Cox regression analysis, adjusted for multiple confounders, showed that individuals in the highest TyG index quartile, compared with those in the lowest, had HRs of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.60 to 0.96) for all-cause mortality and 0.58 (95% CI: 0.39 to 0.89) for CVD mortality. There was a significant inverse relationship between higher TyG index levels and lower mortality risks. For each unit increase in the TyG index, the adjusted HRs for all-cause and CVD mortality decreased by 18% (HR 0.82; 95% CI: 0.71 to 0.94) and 27% (HR 0.73; 95% CI: 0.57 to 0.92), respectively.

Conclusions
TyG index values are negatively associated with all-cause and CVD mortality risks among individuals with previous CVD. Further interventional studies are needed to clarify the impact of TyG levels on cardiovascular health.

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Luglio 2024